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what have they got?
I want to see some more nightvision shit of whole chunks of cities getting wiped out and cameras on the tips of rockets flying down chimneys and shizzle...
NB: ^may not represent my actual views - war is hell, kids.
air strikes/no-fly zones/'advisors' - Maybe, but Russia's only port in the med is in Syria so we'd have to give them a lot of assurances
Boot on ground in a meaningful way? No.
to the Assad regime being suspected of using chemical weapons and the opposition being accused of the same so I can ^this it?
just not officially
Syria actually has pretty credible air defences unlike say, Iraq or Libya. It would need a determined effort and the Americans (quite rightly) are sick of taking the lead on this which would mean that it'd be down to Britain and France. The Brits are overstretched and downsizing and the French are set to announce defence cuts that make ours look fairly trivial in comparative terms.
No spare capacity. Doing more with less is bollocks, especially defence and the whole notion of Britain 'punching above its weight' in power projection has been looking increasingly flimsy for years. The risk of coming seriously unstuck with the consequent loss of men(and indeed women) and materiel looms ever closer.
Short of some major chemical weapons-based abomination I can't see it.
- Following Iraq and Ganners is no political, public or economic capital for intervention
- There is increasing distrust of the rebels, not at a tipping point yet, but the stories of Islamic extremists are increasing
- It's hard to see what decisive strike intervention would make. High possibility of turning a long drawn out bloodbath into a bigger long drawn out bloodbath
- Russia and China oppose it