tomorrow i am getting a train from Bristol to Macclesfield.

The websites of train times say i have a choice of two trains. Both trains leave at 10:18. Now for the dilemma:

Train A -1 Change 4hours 15mins
Train B -2 Changes 3 hours 30mins

Do i stick with the 1 changer as trains never run to time and by the time i have changed twice i will either be on for the same amount of time as the 1 change if not further delayed.

Or do i have faith in the rail system to 2 change and be back sooner?

YOU DECIDE